Friday, November 6, 2020

Will Trump Prevail in 2020? (Checkers vs Chess)

 


The real battle has begun! Despite all the rhetoric from both sides, there is no doubt there are legitimate concerns about the integrity of the 2020 election. And I am pretty sure it will all shake out in the end. The only question: which candidate will prevail and be sworn into office on January 20, 2021?  

For the answer, we need to look into things that happened before as well as during the election. We also must look closely at the minds behind each. And keep in mind that President Trump quietly issued a consequential Executive Order in September of 2018 concerning election interference. That said, here is my take:

Early in 2020 the Democrat party began using the COVID scare to warrant a push for "mail-in ballots" that could be used fraudulently. That, in and of itself would not be a huge problem if it was done properly, requiring they be requested (not mailed out willy-nilly with no accountability) and requiring verification that the person  casting the ballot is legally entitled to do so. The problem became apparent to Republicans that mail-in ballots would be impossible to be vetted properly. 

 The Constitution clearly states repeatedly that only citizens may vote. That is not a suggestion, but a requirement. As with any requirement there must be a method to insure compliance. In other words, by default the Constitution declares citizenship must be checked prior to voting. Otherwise, the requirement becomes toothless - moot. This will become an important point if this election goes to the United States Supreme Court.

Now, realize that President Trump immediately called out the potential for fraud with mail-in ballots (which are different from absentee ballots which must be requested and verified). At that point, anyone familiar with Donald Trump's uncanny ability to think and plan ahead - trademark of his successes in life - well, those people understand that while others play checkers, Trump is playing chess. Here is how it likely would go down:

When mail-in ballots were first brought into the mix, Trump instantly began planning advance moves - he considered everything the Democrats were doing and planning, and was planning moves to counter every move Democrats were likely to make - sometimes even before Democrats themselves made their moves. Trump ANTICIPATED what they would do.  That is what Trump does. It is how he has been so successful in business, and in dealing with the economy, China and even peace in the Middle East. He is always a step or two ahead of his opponent.

Trump knew "the steal" was on. He knew the Democrats would  try to steal the election with fraudulent votes. (If you do not think he was ready for that, you need to take a smart pill.) But it would not be enough to simply catch them in the act. Trump was likely determined to destroy any future plans by EITHER party to compromise election integrity. His love for America exceeds his love of any party. As usual, thinking to the future. So, he let it play out. He COULD have stopped it with an Executive Order that would pass muster with SCOTUS, as most mail-in ballots and changing dates etc. were in violation of state laws.

Here is what Donald Trump and his lawyers know that most Democrats - even most Americans - do not know: if an election is contested and there is any evidence of fraud, SCOTUS would be called in to make a determination. (NOTE: this is why Trump and Republicans were so intent on pushing Amy Coney Barrett through the confirmation process so quickly - she is a Constitutional scholar, and always finds in favor of the Constitution as written).

So, the election is contested, and proof of fraud is discovered. It goes to SCOTUS. In such a case, the Constitution allows for SCOTUS to turn it over to the peoples' representatives - the House - to choose who will be President.

And if you are thinking that this would put the decision up to a Democrat majority in the House, then you are making the same mistake Speaker Pelosi is making. The Constitution clearly states that if no clear winner is determined, and it goes to the House, each STATE (not each representative) gets ONE vote. There can only be a maximum of 50 votes cast - and each vote is cast by a member representing his/her state. And the majority of states are in Republican hands.

The majority of states are Republican, unlike the majority of House members. This means California and New York will have only one vote each, just like South Dakota and Alabama.

The short take: Trump plans ahead - while Democrats play checkers, Trump is playing chess. He was likely way ahead at every step, and the eventual outcome preordained. 

That is not to say it will go down as planned, but it is a likely scenario, given with what we know of Donald Trump - the man who wins every fight that counts (so far). It could fall apart if Republican representatives do not show up to vote. But it appears Trump took all the rights steps, at the right time, and gave Democrats enough rope to hang themselves.

But one question may never be answered with certainty - who DID America vote for? Frankly, it appears obvious to those who look at who else the voters actually voted for - Republicans lost ZERO seats in Congress, and actually gained seats in the House. They gained a state governor. The people, by a large margin were voting a Republican ticket. Is it even plausible they would vote a red ticket and yet cast their vote for a Democrat at the TOP of that ticket? Common sense and critical thinking tells us that is a statistical improbability.

 

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