Conning the Uninformed

Often we hear people on the left make claims that they have been "proven right" on this or that, or that "statistics show we are right" about something, but what many do not realize is that they are using an old scam to make it look that way.

Let's say there are 10 NFL games left before the Super Bowl. You tell 100,000 sports gamblers that one NFL team will win Monday's game, and tell another 100,00 that the other team will win. For 100,000 people, your "prediction" was correct. Next week, you tell 50,000 of those 100,000 that team "A' will win, and you tell the other 50,000 that team "B" will win. Now, to 50,000 people, you have been correct 2 times out of two.

The next week, you divide those "winners" again, and to 25,000 people you are 3 for 3. You do this again the next week, and again the week after, and so on. By week 10, 195 people will believe you to be a true genius - a seer - having provided them with the winning team 10 times in a row.

Now with the Super Bowl on the horizon, you tell those 195 people that you will tell them who you think will win the Bowl game, but they must pay you $5000 for that info.

No matter who wins, you walk away with almost a million bucks, and nearly 100 people are toasting you, as they made a bundle from your info. And you can now point to 100 people who will swear your predictions are ALWAYS right.

The losers, of course, may be angry, but you never said you could predict the winner - you simply offered to tell them who you thought would win.

People on the left use the same tactic to "prove" their argument. There may be five "studies" that show a certain result, but what they don't show you are the hundred that show a different result. Like global warming - the left shows 180 years of temperature records to prove the Earth is warming - and it is. But what they do not show is that for the 4 billion years previous to that, Earth's average mean temperature has been up to 20 degrees warmer for roughly 80% of the time (see PALEOMAP created by scientists from many fields having collected the data).

Think about that for a moment - the "climate change" crowd is basing their beliefs on 180 years of records - 180 years out of 4 billion! Earth is normally and naturally much warmer than now. And it is climbing back to its natural place. And the climate bunch neglect to mention that during the "warm spells", mankind fared much, much better than during the "cold spells" that nearly caused our extinction. And they also neglect to remind you that if the Earth warms to its natural state,  we will not need to burn as much fossil fuel to keep warm in the cold months, or warm up our cars each morning.

Warm is good. Cold is bad.

Don't buy into the hype posed by the left - you will likely be duped.

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